{"id":24114,"date":"2026-09-11T06:44:54","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T09:44:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brasilnoticias.org\/site\/?p=24114"},"modified":"2026-09-11T06:44:54","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T09:44:54","slug":"atlas-lula-lidera-1o-turno-mas-flavio-cresce-e-empata-no-segundo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/brasilnoticias.org\/site\/atlas-lula-lidera-1o-turno-mas-flavio-cresce-e-empata-no-segundo\/","title":{"rendered":"Atlas: Lula lidera 1\u00ba turno, mas Fl\u00e1vio cresce e empata no segundo"},"content":{"rendered":"

O presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT)<\/strong> segue na lideran\u00e7a da corrida presidencial de 2026, segundo pesquisa AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg<\/strong> divulgada nesta quinta-feira (10). Lula registra 43% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto no primeiro turno<\/strong>, enquanto o senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL)<\/strong> aparece com 37,4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Apesar da vantagem de 5,6 pontos percentuais do petista na primeira etapa da disputa, o levantamento mostra crescimento de Fl\u00e1vio. Na pesquisa anterior do instituto, Lula tamb\u00e9m aparecia com 43%, enquanto o candidato do PL tinha 34%. Assim, Fl\u00e1vio avan\u00e7ou 3,4 pontos percentuais entre os dois levantamentos.<\/p>\n

Na sequ\u00eancia da pesquisa aparecem Augusto Cury (Avante), com 6,6%, e Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o), com 6,5%<\/strong>. Os dois est\u00e3o tecnicamente empatados. Romeu Zema (Novo) soma 2,1%, Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) tem 1,1%, enquanto Samara (UP) e Pablo Mar\u00e7al (PRTB) aparecem com 1% cada. Clariana Bar\u00e3o (DC) registra 0,3%. Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO) e Wilson Grassi (Democrata) n\u00e3o pontuaram.<\/p>\n

Brancos e nulos representam 0,6% dos entrevistados, enquanto 0,4% disseram n\u00e3o saber em quem votar.<\/p>\n

Fl\u00e1vio aparece numericamente \u00e0 frente no segundo turno<\/h2>\n

O cen\u00e1rio fica ainda mais apertado quando AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg simula um eventual segundo turno entre Lula e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro.<\/p>\n

Pela primeira vez desde abril, Fl\u00e1vio aparece numericamente \u00e0 frente<\/strong>, com 46,4%<\/strong>, enquanto Lula registra 46,2%<\/strong>. A diferen\u00e7a \u00e9 de apenas 0,2 ponto percentual e, portanto, os dois est\u00e3o em empate t\u00e9cnico<\/strong>, considerando a margem de erro de um ponto percentual para mais ou para menos. Brancos, nulos e indecisos somam 7,4%.<\/p>\n

A compara\u00e7\u00e3o com o levantamento anterior mostra uma mudan\u00e7a importante. Na pesquisa passada, Lula tinha 47,1%, contra 42,6% de Fl\u00e1vio. Agora, o petista aparece com 46,2%, enquanto o senador alcan\u00e7a 46,4%.<\/p>\n

Dessa forma, enquanto Lula mant\u00e9m praticamente est\u00e1vel seu desempenho no primeiro turno, Fl\u00e1vio reduz a dist\u00e2ncia na primeira etapa e avan\u00e7a de forma mais acentuada na simula\u00e7\u00e3o de confronto direto.<\/p>\n

Lula tamb\u00e9m empata com Zema e Caiado<\/h2>\n

O AtlasIntel testou outros quatro cen\u00e1rios de segundo turno envolvendo Lula.<\/p>\n

Em uma disputa contra Romeu Zema<\/strong>, o candidato do Novo aparece com 46,2%<\/strong>, enquanto Lula soma 46%<\/strong>. Assim como no confronto com Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, a diferen\u00e7a est\u00e1 dentro da margem de erro.<\/p>\n

Contra Ronaldo Caiado<\/strong>, o resultado \u00e9 de empate num\u00e9rico: 45,7% para cada candidato<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Lula aparece numericamente \u00e0 frente nos confrontos contra Augusto Cury e Renan Santos. Diante de Cury, o presidente marca 43,8% contra 41,1%<\/strong>. J\u00e1 contra Renan Santos, Lula alcan\u00e7a 46%<\/strong>, enquanto o candidato do Miss\u00e3o registra 33,8%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Os resultados indicam que os confrontos de segundo turno envolvendo os candidatos mais bem posicionados permanecem apertados a poucas semanas da elei\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Lula lidera rejei\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n

A pesquisa tamb\u00e9m perguntou aos eleitores em quais candidatos eles n\u00e3o votariam.<\/p>\n

Lula aparece com a maior rejei\u00e7\u00e3o, de 52,5%<\/strong>. Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro vem logo depois, com 49,6%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Renan Santos tem rejei\u00e7\u00e3o de 35,7%, seguido por Pablo Mar\u00e7al, com 35,1%; Romeu Zema, com 31,6%; Ronaldo Caiado, com 28,1%; e Augusto Cury, com 25,6%. O ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro, que n\u00e3o disputa a elei\u00e7\u00e3o, aparece com 37,7%.<\/p>\n

Os \u00edndices de rejei\u00e7\u00e3o s\u00e3o especialmente relevantes diante da possibilidade de segundo turno, j\u00e1 que mostram o tamanho da resist\u00eancia enfrentada pelos principais candidatos fora de seus respectivos eleitorados.<\/p>\n

Pesquisa ouviu 5 mil eleitores<\/h2>\n

A pesquisa AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg entrevistou 5 mil eleitores entre os dias 4 e 9 de setembro<\/strong>, utilizando recrutamento digital aleat\u00f3rio pela internet, metodologia denominada Atlas RDR.<\/p>\n

A margem de erro \u00e9 de um ponto percentual<\/strong>, para mais ou para menos, e o n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a informado \u00e9 de 95%.<\/p>\n

O levantamento est\u00e1 registrado no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) sob o protocolo BR-01452\/2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) segue na lideran\u00e7a da corrida presidencial de 2026, segundo pesquisa AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg divulgada<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":24115,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_caption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_nocaption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_hide":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24114","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politica","category-ultimas"],"yoast_head":"\nAtlas: Lula lidera 1\u00ba turno, mas Fl\u00e1vio cresce e empata no segundo - Brasil not\u00edcias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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