{"id":24200,"date":"2026-09-17T08:10:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T11:10:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/brasilnoticias.org\/site\/?p=24200"},"modified":"2026-09-17T08:10:05","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T11:10:05","slug":"atlasintel-lula-tem-441-no-1o-turno-e-flavio-bolsonaro-aparece-com-417","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/brasilnoticias.org\/site\/atlasintel-lula-tem-441-no-1o-turno-e-flavio-bolsonaro-aparece-com-417\/","title":{"rendered":"AtlasIntel: Lula tem 44,1% no 1\u00ba turno e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro aparece com 41,7%"},"content":{"rendered":"

O presidente e candidato \u00e0 reelei\u00e7\u00e3o Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT)<\/strong> registra 44,1% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto<\/strong> no primeiro turno da disputa pela Presid\u00eancia da Rep\u00fablica, segundo nova pesquisa AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg<\/strong>, divulgada nesta quinta-feira (17).<\/p>\n

O senador Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL)<\/strong> aparece com 41,7%<\/strong>. A diferen\u00e7a entre os dois candidatos \u00e9 de 2,4 pontos percentuais<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Os n\u00fameros mostram uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o da dist\u00e2ncia entre os dois na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com a rodada divulgada em 10 de setembro. Na pesquisa anterior, Lula tinha 43%<\/strong>, enquanto Fl\u00e1vio registrava 37,4%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Em uma semana, portanto, Lula passou de 43% para 44,1%, enquanto Fl\u00e1vio foi de 37,4% para 41,7%. Como pesquisas representam um retrato do per\u00edodo em que as entrevistas foram realizadas e est\u00e3o sujeitas \u00e0 margem de erro, oscila\u00e7\u00f5es entre levantamentos devem ser interpretadas dentro da metodologia de cada rodada.<\/p>\n

Cen\u00e1rio de primeiro turno<\/h2>\n

No cen\u00e1rio estimulado divulgado pelo instituto, Lula e Fl\u00e1vio concentram a maior parte das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto. Os demais nomes testados aparecem com percentuais menores.<\/p>\n

O levantamento registra:<\/p>\n

Lula (PT): 44,1%<\/strong>
\nFl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL): 41,7%<\/strong>
\nAugusto Cury (Avante): 5,1%<\/strong>
\nRenan Santos (Miss\u00e3o): 4,8%<\/strong>
\nRomeu Zema (Novo): 1,3%<\/strong>
\nRonaldo Caiado (PSD): 1,1%<\/strong>
\nSamara Martins (UP): 0,8%<\/strong><\/p>\n

Outros candidatos, al\u00e9m de votos brancos, nulos e entrevistados que n\u00e3o souberam responder, completam o cen\u00e1rio apresentado pelo instituto.<\/p>\n

Fl\u00e1vio cresce em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 pesquisa anterior<\/h2>\n

A principal mudan\u00e7a em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 rodada anterior do AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg est\u00e1 no percentual registrado por Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro.<\/p>\n

Em 10 de setembro<\/strong>, o senador aparecia com 37,4%. Agora, registra 41,7%, uma varia\u00e7\u00e3o positiva de 4,3 pontos percentuais<\/strong>. Lula, por sua vez, passou de 43% para 44,1% no mesmo per\u00edodo.<\/p>\n

Na rodada anterior, Augusto Cury tinha 6,6%, Renan Santos aparecia com 6,5%, Romeu Zema registrava 2,1% e Ronaldo Caiado tinha 1,1%.<\/p>\n

Segundo turno entre Lula e Fl\u00e1vio<\/h2>\n

A pesquisa tamb\u00e9m testou um eventual segundo turno entre os dois candidatos.<\/p>\n

Nesse cen\u00e1rio, Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro registra 47,2% e Lula aparece com 46,8%<\/strong>. A diferen\u00e7a \u00e9 de apenas 0,4 ponto percentual<\/strong>, portanto os dois est\u00e3o tecnicamente empatados considerando a margem de erro informada pelo levantamento.<\/p>\n

Na pesquisa AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg divulgada uma semana antes, o cen\u00e1rio tamb\u00e9m apresentava empate t\u00e9cnico: Fl\u00e1vio tinha 46,4% e Lula, 46,2%.<\/p>\n

Os resultados de primeiro e segundo turno representam cen\u00e1rios diferentes e n\u00e3o devem ser comparados diretamente. No primeiro turno, o levantamento inclui o conjunto de candidatos testados. No segundo, os entrevistados escolhem entre apenas dois nomes, al\u00e9m das op\u00e7\u00f5es de voto branco, nulo ou indecis\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial entra na reta final<\/h2>\n

A nova rodada da AtlasIntel \u00e9 divulgada a pouco mais de duas semanas do primeiro turno das elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2026, marcado para 4 de outubro<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

O Tribunal Superior Eleitoral j\u00e1 concluiu a an\u00e1lise dos pedidos apresentados para a disputa presidencial. Segundo o TSE, 13 chapas solicitaram registro neste ano, al\u00e9m de um pedido posterior de substitui\u00e7\u00e3o que ainda aguardava an\u00e1lise no balan\u00e7o divulgado pela Corte em 15 de setembro.<\/p>\n

Os levantamentos eleitorais divulgados nas pr\u00f3ximas semanas continuar\u00e3o registrando as inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto durante a reta final da campanha. Pesquisas eleitorais n\u00e3o representam previs\u00e3o do resultado das urnas, mas um retrato das respostas dos entrevistados dentro do per\u00edodo e da metodologia utilizados em cada levantamento.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O presidente e candidato \u00e0 reelei\u00e7\u00e3o Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) registra 44,1% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto no primeiro<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":24201,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_caption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_nocaption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_hide":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politica","category-ultimas"],"yoast_head":"\nAtlasIntel: Lula tem 44,1% no 1\u00ba turno e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro aparece com 41,7% - Brasil not\u00edcias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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